Given the popularity of the Saudi Pro League in Uzbekistan, home field might not be a big advantage for Navbahor in this encounter. Neither side are in great form at the moment, but Al Ittihad have at least played their share of meaningful games lately, while Thursday will mark nearly a month since their opponents will have played, which should give the Saudis an edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Navbahor had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Navbahor win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Navbahor	Draw	Al Ittihad
26.93% ( 0.21)	25.99% ( 0.01)	47.08% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 50.51% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.75% (

0.1)

53.25% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.19% (

0.08)

74.8% (

-0.08)

Navbahor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.26% (

0.23)

34.73% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.53% (

0.24)

71.46% (

-0.23)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.39% (

-0.05)

22.61% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.78% (

-0.08)

56.22% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Navbahor 26.93%

Al Ittihad 47.08%

Draw 25.98%

Navbahor	Draw	Al Ittihad
1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.15% Total : 26.93%	1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 47.08%