Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 19, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade de Yamoussoukro

Guinea
1 - 0
Gambia

Camara (69')
Diakite (19'), Jeanvier (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Barrow (10'), Sowe (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Guinea and Gambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Cameroon 1-1 Guinea
Monday, January 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	1	3	3
2	Cameroon	1	0	1
3	Guinea	1	0	1
4	Gambia	1	-3	0

Gambia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Senegal 3-0 Gambia
Monday, January 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	1	3	3
2	Cameroon	1	0	1
3	Guinea	1	0	1
4	Gambia	1	-3	0

Guinea were unlucky not to have got all three points against Cameroon in their opening match and will be eager to make amends for it in this one against a Gambia side that looked very poor against Senegal on Monday evening. We feel the National Elephants will put on another impressive display here and fancy them to secure their first win of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 18.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.16%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Guinea.

Result
Guinea	Draw	Gambia
52.66% ( 0.53)	28.92% ( -0.24)	18.41% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 34.73% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.09% (

0.36)

68.91% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.47% (

0.23)

86.53% (

-0.24)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.97% (

0.44)

27.03% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.6% (

0.57)

62.4% (

-0.57)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.59% (

-0.13)

52.41% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.73% (

-0.09)

86.27% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Guinea 52.66%

Gambia 18.41%

Draw 28.91%

Guinea	Draw	Gambia
1-0 @ 18.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.53% Total : 52.66%	0-0 @ 14.16% ( -0.2) 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 28.91%	0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.43% Total : 18.41%