Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ipswich Town.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
27.4% ( -0.15) | 24.54% ( 0.28) | 48.06% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 55.42% ( -1.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.02% ( -1.31) | 46.99% ( 1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.77% ( -1.24) | 69.23% ( 1.25) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.95% ( -0.8) | 31.05% ( 0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.63% ( -0.94) | 67.37% ( 0.95) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.38% ( -0.57) | 19.62% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.43% ( -0.94) | 51.57% ( 0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.4% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.99% Total : 48.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
> Championship Full Table |