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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Hull City win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Southampton in this match.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Southampton |
37.5% ( -0.72) | 24.44% ( -0.38) | 38.05% ( 1.09) |
Both teams to score 59.82% ( 1.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57% ( 1.81) | 43% ( -1.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.6% ( 1.77) | 65.4% ( -1.77) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.2% ( 0.44) | 22.79% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.5% ( 0.65) | 56.5% ( -0.65) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% ( 1.39) | 22.51% ( -1.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.92% ( 2.03) | 56.08% ( -2.03) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.52) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.5% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.42) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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