Championship

Championship | Gameweek 29

Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Den

Millwall
1 - 1
Burnley

Bradshaw (85')
Bradshaw (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Barnes (51')
Al Dakhil (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 3-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, February 18 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Luton 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

In most circumstances, Burnley are going to be backed to prevail in any Championship fixture. However, three days on from a testing visit to Luton and with a motivated Millwall in front of them, we can see a low-scoring share of the spoils being played out at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Burnley
38.38% ( 0.5)	28.01% ( 0.17)	33.61% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 47.57% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.56% (

-0.71)

58.44% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.96% (

-0.56)

79.04% (

0.56)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.49% (

-0.05)

29.51% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.48% (

-0.06)

65.52% (

0.07)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.48% (

-0.81)

32.52% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.95% (

-0.92)

69.05% (

0.92)

Score Analysis

Millwall 38.38%

Burnley 33.61%

Draw 28%

Millwall	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 38.38%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28%	0-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.67% Total : 33.61%