Championship

Championship | Gameweek 28

Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
4 - 0
Reading

Smallbone (11'), Campbell (57'), Brown (80'), Gayle (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sheff Utd 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reading

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Reading 2-2 QPR
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Reading

Stoke have not started 2023 in the best fashion and considerable pressure will be on Neil to earn all three points against a Reading side who have been prone to self-destruction away from home. The Royals' squad took a further beating last weekend with injuries to Hutchinson, Carroll and Long, which could contribute to a disappointing result in Staffordshire this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Reading
47.67% ( -0.02)	27.32% ( -0.08)	25.01% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 45.23% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.68% (

0.33)

59.32% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.28% (

0.25)

79.71% (

-0.26)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.03% (

0.14)

24.97% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.38% (

0.19)

59.61% (

-0.2)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.28% (

0.28)

39.72% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.6% (

0.25)

76.4% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 47.67%

Reading 25.01%

Draw 27.31%

Stoke City	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 13.76% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 47.67%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.31%	0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.4% Total : 25.01%