Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 77.57%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 8.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-2 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Rotherham United |
77.57% | 14.12% ( 0) | 8.3% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 49.66% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.44% ( -0.04) | 33.56% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.63% ( -0.05) | 55.36% ( 0.04) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.99% ( -0.01) | 7.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.36% ( -0.02) | 25.64% ( 0.02) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.41% ( -0.04) | 46.59% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.82% ( -0.03) | 82.17% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Rotherham United |
2-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 8.81% 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.81% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.79% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.19% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 3.34% Total : 77.56% | 1-1 @ 6.63% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 14.12% | 1-2 @ 2.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.32% Total : 8.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
> Championship Full Table |