Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg

Feb 20, 2024 at 10pm UK

Estadio General Jose Antonio Paez

Portuguesa
1 - 2
Palestino

(Palestino win 4-2 on aggregate)

Rodriguez (9')
Rodriguez (69')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Carrasco (15' pen.), Sosa (31')
Linares (76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Portuguesa and Palestino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palestino

Last Game: Palestino 1-2 Fortaleza
Tuesday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Portuguesa had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Portuguesa win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palestino would win this match.

Result
Portuguesa	Draw	Palestino
35.97% ( -0.01)	27.38% ( -0.01)	36.65% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 49.71% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.12% (

0.05)

55.88% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.01% (

0.04)

76.99% (

-0.04)

Portuguesa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.3% (

0.02)

29.7% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.24% (

0.02)

65.76% (

-0.02)

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.71% (

0.04)

29.29% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.75% (

0.05)

65.25% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Portuguesa 35.97%

Palestino 36.64%

Draw 27.37%

Portuguesa	Draw	Palestino
1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 35.97%	1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.37%	0-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.64%