EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Walton Road Stadium

Sutton
3 - 2
Cambridge

Smith (38'), Beautyman (82' pen.)

FT
(aet)

Okenabirhie (18', 60' pen.)

Sutton win 6-5 on penalties

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Sutton United and Cambridge United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions

Last Game: Sutton 5-1 Notts County
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cambridge United

All competitions

Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%).

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Cambridge United
40.58% ( 0)	26.18% ( -0)	33.24%

Both teams to score 53.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.65%

51.35% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.83%

73.17% (

-0)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.05% (

24.94% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.42%

59.58%

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.8% (

-0)

29.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.86%

65.14%

Score Analysis

Sutton United 40.58%

Cambridge United 33.24%

Draw 26.17%

Sutton United	Draw	Cambridge United
1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.57% Total : 40.58%	1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.28% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17%	0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.24%