Friendlies 2

Mar 21, 2024 at 5pm UK

Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht

Belarus
0 - 2
Montenegro

FT(HT: 0-2)

Marusic (27'), Krstovic (45')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Belarus and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belarus

All competitions

Last Game: Kosovo 0-1 Belarus
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	10	11	22
2	Switzerland	10	11	17
3	Israel	10	0	15
4	Belarus	10	-5	12
5	Kosovo	10	0	11
6	Andorra	10	-17	2

Montenegro

All competitions

Last Game: Hungary 3-1 Montenegro
Sunday, November 19 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	8	9	18
2	Serbia	8	6	14
3	Montenegro	8	-2	11
4	Lithuania	8	-6	6
5	Bulgaria	8	-7	4

We said: Belarus 1-2 Montenegro

In four meetings since Montenegrin independence, there has been two draws, with the Brave Falcons claiming success on the other two occasions, including in their most recent fixture in 2019. It is hard to see past another Montenegro win given their form in Euro 2024 qualifying, but Belarus sprung many surprises in their own group, so expect a close encounter here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-0 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.

Result
Belarus	Draw	Montenegro
30.77% ( -0)	28.75% ( 0.01)	40.47% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 44.76% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.41% (

-0.03)

61.58% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.56% (

-0.02)

81.43% (

0.02)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.78% (

-0.02)

36.21% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27% (

-0.02)

72.99% (

0.02)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.17% (

-0.02)

29.82% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.09% (

-0.02)

65.9% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Belarus 30.76%

Montenegro 40.47%

Draw 28.75%

Belarus	Draw	Montenegro
1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 6.74% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 30.76%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.75%	0-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 40.47%