Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.29%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ivory Coast in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ivory Coast.
-0.27) 
0.15) 
