Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 22, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)

Eq Guinea
4 - 0
Ivory Coast

Nsue (42', 75'), Ganet (73'), Buyla (88')
Miranda (12'), Owono (45+5'), Eneme (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kouame (45+5'), Boly (72')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Equatorial Guinea and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Eq Guinea 4-2 Guinea-Bissau
Thursday, January 18 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	2	2	4
2	Nigeria	2	1	4
3	Ivory Coast	2	1	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	2	-4	0

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Ivory Coast 0-1 Nigeria
Thursday, January 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	2	2	4
2	Nigeria	2	1	4
3	Ivory Coast	2	1	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	2	-4	0

We said: Equatorial Guinea 1-1 Ivory Coast

Despite the undoubted home support, Equatorial Guinea could nick a point against an Ivorian side that went down in many observers' estimation after a disappointing defeat to Nigeria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 42.96%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 27.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 1-0 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Ivory Coast
27.39% ( 1.69)	29.65% ( 0.7)	42.96% ( -2.4)

Both teams to score 41.01% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.53% (

-1.34)

65.47% (

1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.78% (

-0.94)

84.22% (

0.94)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.88% (

0.73)

41.11% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.34% (

0.64)

77.66% (

-0.64)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.65% (

-1.97)

30.35% (

1.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.46% (

-2.41)

66.54% (

2.42)

Score Analysis

Equatorial Guinea 27.39%

Ivory Coast 42.95%

Draw 29.64%

Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.75) 2-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.25% Total : 27.39%	1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 12.47% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.64%	0-1 @ 14.87% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.43) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.29% Total : 42.95%