Friendlies 1

Jun 5, 2024 at 6pm UK

Ullevaal Stadion

Norway
3 - 0
Kosovo

Haaland (15', 70', 75')
Moller Wolfe (55'), Ajer (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's international friendly between Norway and Kosovo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Norway 1-1 Slovakia
Tuesday, March 26 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	8	20	21
2	Scotland	8	9	17
3	Norway	8	2	11
4	Georgia	8	-6	8
5	Cyprus	8	-25	0

Kosovo

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Hungary 2-0 Kosovo
Tuesday, March 26 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	10	11	22
2	Switzerland	10	11	17
3	Israel	10	0	15
4	Belarus	10	-5	12
5	Kosovo	10	0	11
6	Andorra	10	-17	2

With only three goals from their last five games - and sitting some 55 places below their hosts in the FIFA World rankings - Kosovo are not expected to cause an upset in Oslo. Norway boast the firepower required to take care of business, before moving on to meet Denmark in a more high-profile contest later this week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Kosovo had a probability of 15.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Kosovo win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
Norway	Draw	Kosovo
63.81% ( 0.02)	20.91% ( -0.01)	15.28% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 49.14% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.54% (

-0.02)

46.46% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.26% (

-0.02)

68.74% (

0.02)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.13%

13.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.72% (

41.27% (

-0)

Kosovo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.05% (

-0.04)

42.95% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.76% (

-0.04)

79.24% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Norway 63.8%

Kosovo 15.28%

Draw 20.91%

Norway	Draw	Kosovo
1-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.66% Total : 63.8%	1-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.91%	0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.2% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 15.28%