Friendlies 1

Mar 23, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Alejandro Villanueva

Peru
2 - 0
Nicaragua

Grimaldo (2'), Lapadula (13')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coronel (55'), Coronel (62')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Peru and Nicaragua, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions

Last Game: Peru 1-1 Venezuela
Wednesday, November 22 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Nicaragua

All competitions

Last Game: Nicaragua 0-0 Dominican Rep.
Wednesday, November 22 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

While the Peruvians are in relatively poor form at the moment, we are tipping them to pull out a narrow victory because we believe that having a new face on the sidelines could give them a boost for this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Peru had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-0 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Peru would win this match.

Result
Peru	Draw	Nicaragua
35.23% ( -0.02)	27.78% ( 0)	36.99% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.46% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.58% (

-0.01)

57.42% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.77% (

-0.01)

78.23% (

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.07% (

-0.02)

30.93% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.77% (

-0.02)

67.23% (

0.01)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.16% (

29.84% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.08% (

0.01)

65.92% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Peru 35.22%

Nicaragua 36.99%

Draw 27.77%

Peru	Draw	Nicaragua
1-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 35.22%	1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.23% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.77%	0-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.75% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.99%