Friendlies 3

Mar 25, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Race Course International Stadium (Colombo)

Sri Lanka
2 - 0
Bhutan

De Silva (46'), Kelaart (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Sri Lanka and Bhutan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sri Lanka

Last Game: Sri Lanka 0-0 P. New Guinea
Friday, March 22 at 3.15pm in International Friendlies

Bhutan

Last Game: CAR 6-0 Bhutan
Friday, March 22 at 9.30am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sri Lanka win with a probability of 68.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Bhutan had a probability of 12.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sri Lanka win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Bhutan win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sri Lanka in this match.

Result
Sri Lanka	Draw	Bhutan
68.86% ( -0.07)	18.72% ( -0.07)	12.41% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 48.57% (

0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.86% (

0.66)

43.14% (

-0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.46% (

0.65)

65.54% (

-0.65)

Sri Lanka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.56% (

0.17)

11.43% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.77% (

0.36)

36.23% (

-0.37)

Bhutan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.85% (

0.65)

45.15% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.94% (

0.51)

81.06% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Sri Lanka 68.85%

Bhutan 12.41%

Draw 18.72%

Sri Lanka	Draw	Bhutan
2-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.6% Total : 68.85%	1-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.82% Total : 18.72%	0-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.18% Total : 12.41%