La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 15, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almeria
1 - 1
Atletico

Bilal Toure (37')
Baptistao (17'), Embarba (67'), Mendes (85'), Ely (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Correa (18')
Kondogbia (40'), Reguilon (85'), Niguez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 0-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, January 8 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 0-1 Barcelona
Sunday, January 8 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Almeria 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico have been impressive on their travels this season, and we are expecting the capital outfit to triumph here. Almeria have actually won five of their eight home league games this term, which is the same as Real Madrid at Bernabeu, but we have a feeling that Atletico will secure all three points in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 17.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Atletico Madrid
17.8% ( -0)	22.79% ( -0)	59.4% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.59% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.03% (

0.01)

49.97% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.05% (

0.01)

71.95% (

-0.01)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.17% (

41.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.71% (

78.29%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.53% (

0.01)

16.47% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.83% (

0.02)

46.17% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Almeria 17.8%

Atletico Madrid 59.39%

Draw 22.79%

Almeria	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.72% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.37% 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 17.8%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.79%	0-1 @ 12.42% 0-2 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.04% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.65% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.94% Total : 59.39%