Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Real Sociedad |
21.15% ( 0) | 24.69% ( -0) | 54.16% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 48.31% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.88% ( 0.01) | 53.12% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.3% ( 0) | 74.7% ( -0.01) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.05% ( 0) | 39.95% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.4% ( 0.01) | 76.6% ( -0.01) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.44% | 19.56% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.53% ( 0) | 51.47% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 7.17% 2-1 @ 5.37% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 1.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.15% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 7.81% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 9.55% 0-3 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 5.19% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-4 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 2.12% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.84% Total : 54.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |