Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Girona had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Girona |
46.36% ( 0.41) | 26.5% ( -0.12) | 27.13% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 49.14% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.9% ( 0.28) | 55.1% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.65% ( 0.23) | 76.35% ( -0.23) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.27% ( 0.32) | 23.73% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.13% ( 0.45) | 57.87% ( -0.45) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.44% ( -0.08) | 35.56% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.67% ( -0.09) | 72.33% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.35% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.01% Total : 27.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |