La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 15, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Real Sociedad

Williams (33', 70')
Capa (39'), Guruzeta (45+3'), Garcia (47'), Alvarez (80'), Vivian (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zubeldia (51'), Le Normand (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Espanyol 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, April 8 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 Getafe
Saturday, April 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Real Sociedad

An entertaining contest could be on the cards this weekend between two teams seeking to boost their European hopes by claiming maximum points against their closest rivals. Real Sociedad came out on top in the reverse fixture earlier this year, but we believe that Athletic Bilbao will come away with at least a point in front of their own fans this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 45.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Sociedad
45.51% ( -0.07)	27.43% ( -0.01)	27.06% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 46.47% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.49% (

0.08)

58.51% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.91% (

0.06)

79.09% (

-0.06)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.33% (

-0)

25.66% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.43% (

60.57% (

-0)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.51% (

0.1)

37.48% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.73% (

0.1)

74.26% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 45.51%

Real Sociedad 27.06%

Draw 27.42%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 13.08% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.15% Total : 45.51%	1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.42%	0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 27.06%