Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
32.69% ( 0.25) | 28.68% ( 0.15) | 38.63% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 45.49% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.06% ( -0.48) | 60.94% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.05% ( -0.36) | 80.95% ( 0.36) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.53% ( -0.08) | 34.47% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.82% ( -0.08) | 71.18% ( 0.08) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.41% ( -0.48) | 30.59% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.18% ( -0.57) | 66.82% ( 0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 32.68% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.67% | 0-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |