La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 11, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Castillejo (17')
Duro (21'), Castillejo (60')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Williams (30'), Sancet (72')
Williams (41'), de Marcos (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Girona 1-0 Valencia
Sunday, February 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 4-1 Cadiz
Friday, February 3 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Valencia 2-2 Athletic Bilbao

This has all of the makings of an open and entertaining match this weekend. Four of the last five La Liga matches between these two sides have finished level, including a 2-2 at Mestalla in December 2020, and we are backing the same scoreline to occur on Saturday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
36.99% ( -0.01)	27.51% ( 0.01)	35.5% ( 0)

Both teams to score 49.3% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.62% (

-0.05)

56.38% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.6% (

-0.04)

77.4% (

0.04)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.67% (

-0.03)

29.33% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.7% (

-0.04)

65.3% (

0.04)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.76% (

-0.02)

30.24% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.59% (

-0.03)

66.41% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Valencia 36.98%

Athletic Bilbao 35.5%

Draw 27.5%

Valencia	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.98%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.5%	0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.5%