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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
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Athletic Bilbao
0 - 2
Real Madrid


Berchiche (50'), Vivian (58'), Herrera (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Benzema (24'), Kroos (90')
Camavinga (62'), Junior (79')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Espanyol
Wednesday, January 18 at 7pm in Copa del Rey

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 2-3 Real Madrid
Thursday, January 19 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-2 Real Madrid

 This is another huge test for Real Madrid, with Athletic a very dangerous opponent. The Basque outfit have struggled to pick up wins in the league of late, though, and with Ancelotti's side chasing Barcelona, we are backing the reigning champions to navigate their way to a huge win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Madrid
31.53% (-0.012 -0.01) 26.07% (-0.012 -0.01) 42.39% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.92% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63% (0.034999999999997 0.03)51.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (0.027999999999999 0.03)73.19% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (0.010000000000005 0.01)30.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.48% (0.011000000000003 0.01)66.52% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (0.036000000000001 0.04)58.29% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 31.53%
    Real Madrid 42.39%
    Draw 26.06%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 8.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.4%
2-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 31.53%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 10.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.41%
1-3 @ 4.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.52% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 42.39%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid

Athletic Bilbao
14.4%
Draw
13.8%
Real Madrid
71.8%
188
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2022 8.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Real Madrid
Berenguer (89')
Garcia (42'), de Marcos (67'), Berchiche (68')

Kroos (24'), Modric (59')
Jan 16, 2022 6.30pm
Final
Real Madrid
0-2
Athletic Bilbao

Marcelino (51'), Garcia (77'), Alvarez (90')
Modric (38'), Benzema (52' pen.)
Militao (87')
Dec 22, 2021 8.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-2
Real Madrid
Sancet (10')
Vencedor (43'), Garcia (61')
Benzema (4', 7')
Junior (42'), Camavinga (62')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Benzema (40')
Modric (68'), Casemiro (77')

Zarraga (31'), Lekue (43'), Williams (77')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Real Madrid

Berenguer (14'), Garcia (79'), Martinez (80'), Marcelino (90')
Garcia (89')
Nacho (68')
Nacho (82'), Valverde (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121
> La Liga Full Table


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