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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Rayo Vallecano logo

Atletico
1 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Morata (20')
Savic (47'), Niguez (88'), Gimenez (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Falcao (90+2' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Getafe
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Rayo Vallecano

Rayo drew at Barcelona earlier this season and are certainly capable of picking up a positive result in this match, but it is always difficult to back against Atletico at Wanda Metropolitano, and we are expecting the Red and Whites to secure all three points courtesy of a 2-0 scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 14.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.97%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawRayo Vallecano
63.39% (0.941 0.94) 22.22% (-0.427 -0.43) 14.4% (-0.513 -0.51)
Both teams to score 43.24% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.7% (0.686 0.69)53.3% (-0.683 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.15% (0.58 0.58)74.85% (-0.577 -0.58)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.73% (0.56099999999999 0.56)16.27% (-0.559 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.18% (1.009 1.01)45.82% (-1.005 -1.01)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.64% (-0.337 -0.34)48.36% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.51% (-0.245 -0.25)83.5% (0.24600000000001 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 63.38%
    Rayo Vallecano 14.4%
    Draw 22.22%
Atletico MadridDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 14.28% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 12.97% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.85% (0.229 0.23)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.113 0.11)
4-0 @ 3.56% (0.168 0.17)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.084 0.08)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 63.38%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 7.87% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.22%
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-2 @ 3.77% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.08% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 0.91% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 14.4%

How you voted: Atletico vs Rayo Vallecano

Atletico Madrid
91.1%
Draw
5.7%
Rayo Vallecano
3.2%
158
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Atletico

Suarez (30'), Comesana (42'), Trejo (65')
Koke (49')
Lodi (20'), Kondogbia (74'), Koke (78'), Oblak (81'), Savic (85')
Correa (85')
Jan 2, 2022 3.15pm
Atletico
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Correa (28', 53')
Simeone (7'), Suarez (26'), Gimenez (63'), De Paul (73')
Feb 16, 2019 3.15pm
Aug 25, 2018 7.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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