Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Osasuna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Osasuna |
34.27% ( -0.76) | 27.64% ( -0.21) | 38.09% ( 0.97) |
Both teams to score 48.76% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43% ( 0.72) | 57% ( -0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.11% ( 0.57) | 77.89% ( -0.58) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.65% ( -0.13) | 31.35% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.29% ( -0.15) | 67.71% ( 0.15) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.03% ( 0.93) | 28.97% ( -0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.14% ( 1.14) | 64.86% ( -1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.26% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |