La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 11, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
1 - 0
Osasuna

Kluivert (74')
Duro (71'), Gaya (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (3'), Cruz (16'), Avila (36'), Torro (68'), Oroz (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Valencia
Sunday, March 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 0-0 Celta Vigo
Monday, March 6 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna have only lost three of their 12 away league matches this season, drawing six times in the process, and we can see another draw here. Valencia are certainly stronger at home than they are on their travels, but it is difficult to back Los Che to triumph with any real confidence at the moment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Osasuna
44.93% ( -0)	26.15% ( 0.01)	28.92% ( -0)

Both teams to score 51.37% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.22% (

-0.03)

52.78% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.6% (

-0.02)

74.4% (

0.02)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.59% (

-0.02)

23.41% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.6% (

-0.02)

57.4% (

0.02)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.07% (

-0.02)

32.93% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.49% (

-0.02)

69.5% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Valencia 44.93%

Osasuna 28.92%

Draw 26.15%

Valencia	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.93%	1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0) Other @ 1% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.92%