Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Cadiz |
51.77% ( 1.08) | 26.65% ( 0.2) | 21.58% ( -1.28) |
Both teams to score 43.58% ( -1.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.36% ( -1.77) | 59.64% ( 1.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.04% ( -1.38) | 79.96% ( 1.38) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.78% ( -0.28) | 23.22% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.87% ( -0.41) | 57.13% ( 0.41) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.76% ( -2.32) | 43.24% ( 2.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.51% ( -2.01) | 79.49% ( 2.01) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 14.66% ( 0.84) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.53% Total : 51.77% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |