Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Osasuna |
41.09% ( 0.81) | 28.91% ( 0.55) | 29.99% ( -1.36) |
Both teams to score 44.07% ( -1.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.69% ( -2.19) | 62.31% ( 2.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.03% ( -1.63) | 81.97% ( 1.64) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.17% ( -0.61) | 29.83% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.09% ( -0.74) | 65.91% ( 0.75) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.8% ( -2.21) | 37.2% ( 2.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.01% ( -2.25) | 73.99% ( 2.25) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 13.42% ( 0.85) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.44% Total : 41.09% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.87) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.9% | 0-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.19) Other @ 1.77% Total : 29.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |