Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 44.6%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.11%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
44.6% ( 0.38) | 29.85% ( 0.18) | 25.55% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 39.46% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.18% ( -0.75) | 66.81% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.86% ( -0.51) | 85.14% ( 0.51) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.88% ( -0.17) | 30.12% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.74% ( -0.2) | 66.26% ( 0.21) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.46% ( -0.94) | 43.54% ( 0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.26% ( -0.79) | 79.74% ( 0.79) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 15.73% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.27% Total : 44.59% | 0-0 @ 13.11% ( 0.36) 1-1 @ 13.08% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.39% Total : 29.84% | 0-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 1% Total : 25.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |