La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 10, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes

Granada
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Collado (35')
Quini (41'), Escudero (77'), Duarte (88'), Brice Eteki (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vesga (72')
Vesga (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Granada and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Granada

Last Six:

Last Game: Granada 0-0 Espanyol
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Mallorca	38	-27	39
18	Granada	38	-17	38
19	Levante	38	-25	35

Athletic Bilbao

Last Six:

Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Villarreal	38	26	59
8	Athletic Bilbao	38	7	55
9	Valencia	38	-5	48

We said: Granada 0-2 Athletic Bilbao

Now coming up against a defensively sound Athletic Bilbao side having suffered fresh injury blows with three of their goalscorers at the weekend, Granada's strong start to life under Karanka could come to a grinding halt here. The hosts have not had the winning formula in front of their own fans of late, and with Marcelino's men in rather strong form themselves, the European outsiders can take advantage of Granada's lengthy injury list to get back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Granada had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Granada	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
30.53% ( 0.67)	26.27% ( 0.31)	43.2% ( -0.98)

Both teams to score 51.85% (

-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.44% (

-0.96)

52.56% (

0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.78% (

-0.83)

74.22% (

0.83)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.36% (

-0.02)

31.64% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.95% (

-0.02)

68.05% (

0.02)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.85% (

-0.89)

24.15% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.53% (

-1.29)

58.46% (

1.29)

Score Analysis

Granada 30.53%

Athletic Bilbao 43.2%

Draw 26.27%

Granada	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.83% Total : 30.53%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.69% Total : 43.2%