League Two

League Two | Gameweek 18

Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Dunes Hotel Stadium

Barrow
1 - 0
Crawley

Telford (46')
Acauah (58'), Proctor (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Campbell (18'), Maguire (47'), Wright (64')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Bradford 1-2 Barrow
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Crawley Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crawley 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Barrow 1-0 Crawley Town

Barrow have kept a clean sheet in each of their last three leagues games, gaining five points from those fixtures, and we can envisage a similar scenario against Crawley on Saturday. Both teams have punched above their weight so far this season, but with Telford likely to be extremely motivated against his former employers, we expect the hosts to keep their winning streak going. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.

Result
Barrow	Draw	Crawley Town
44.55% ( 0.58)	25.84% ( -0.15)	29.61% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 52.72% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.79% (

0.42)

51.21% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.95% (

0.37)

73.05% (

-0.36)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.09% (

0.46)

22.92% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.32% (

0.67)

56.68% (

-0.66)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.4% (

-0.09)

31.61% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.99% (

-0.11)

68.01% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Barrow 44.55%

Crawley Town 29.61%

Draw 25.84%

Barrow	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.55%	1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.61%