League Two

League Two | Gameweek 2

Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
3 - 2
Grimsby Town

Bostock (40'), Jones (50'), Crowley (61')
Palmer (8'), Nemane (45+4'), Stone (89'), Adebayo-Rowling (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Rose (17'), Clifton (45+7')
Glennon (24'), Rose (25'), Clifton (34'), Conteh (64')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Notts County 0-2 Lincoln
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Grimsby Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

We said: Notts County 1-0 Grimsby Town

Notts County should be eager to kickstart their campaign with a victory in front of their own fans this weekend, in what is the first EFL match at Meadow Lane since 2019, and we think they will be able to get the job done. Although it is still very early days, Grimsby Town have failed to score so far this season, putting in two sub-par performances, which they cannot afford to do against a side of the Magpies' quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.53%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Grimsby Town
52.53% ( 1.82)	22.83% ( -0.41)	24.64% ( -1.41)

Both teams to score 58.55% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.35% (

0.61)

41.64% (

-0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.95% (

0.61)

64.04% (

-0.61)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.1% (

0.87)

15.9% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.86% (

1.58)

45.14% (

-1.58)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.62% (

-0.78)

30.38% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.43% (

-0.94)

66.57% (

0.94)

Score Analysis

Notts County 52.53%

Grimsby Town 24.64%

Draw 22.83%

Notts County	Draw	Grimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.54% Total : 52.53%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.83%	1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.98% Total : 24.64%