League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
We said: Salford City 2-1 Forest Green Rovers
Neither team would have expected to be facing relegation trouble at this stage of the season, but that is the reality that both sides face for the time being at least. Despite being unlikely to have a permanent manager in place for this meeting, Salford will sense an opportunity to put some distance between themselves and the bottom two.
Forest Green have improved since appointing Deeney as their manager, but they appear out of sorts on the road, and we can see more pain for them in the short-term before potentially escaping relegation by the end of the campaign.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 40.39% . A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (5.98%) . The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%) . The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood .
Result Salford City Draw Forest Green Rovers 35.46% ( 0.04) 24.14% ( -0.07) 40.39% ( 0.04)
Both teams to score 60.71% ( 0.29)
58.23% ( 0.37) 41.76% ( -0.37)
35.83% ( 0.37) 64.16% ( -0.37)
76.68% ( 0.19) 23.32% ( -0.19)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 42.73% ( 0.28) 57.26% ( -0.28)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
79.17% ( 0.18) 20.83% ( -0.18)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.49% ( 0.28) 53.51% ( -0.27)
Salford City 35.46%
Forest Green Rovers 40.4%
Draw 24.14%
Salford City Draw Forest Green Rovers 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 35.46% 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.14% 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 40.4%
How you voted: Salford City vs Forest Green
Salford City
Draw
Forest Green Rovers
9
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-13 01:41:31
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