League Two

League Two | Gameweek 25

Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
2 - 1
Forest Green

Kemp (56', 81')
Hutton (71'), Minturn (90+7'), Young (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Taylor (74')
Dabo (15'), Deeney (16'), Jenks (21'), Robson (43'), Bendle (80'), Inniss (87')
Deeney (86')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Wrexham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Newport 4-2 Forest Green
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Swindon Town 1-2 Forest Green Rovers

Neither side have been particularly sharp over 90 minutes this month, but we believe the visitors will make life difficult for a Swindon side that seem to be their own worst enemies and where frustration appears to be growing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
47.15% ( 0.03)	24.21% ( -0)	28.65% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 57.47% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.28% (

-0)

44.72% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.92% (

-0.01)

67.08% (

0.01)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.91% (

0.01)

19.09% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.29% (

0.01)

50.71% (

-0.01)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.03% (

-0.02)

28.97% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.14% (

-0.02)

64.86% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 47.15%

Forest Green Rovers 28.65%

Draw 24.2%

Swindon Town	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.22% Total : 47.15%	1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.2%	1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 28.65%