League Two

League Two | Gameweek 23

Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Edgeley Park

Stockport
2 - 1
Notts County

Wootton (7'), Madden (86' pen.)
Croasdale (36'), Byrne (55'), Pye (56'), Richardson (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McGoldrick (90+3')
Bostock (76'), Cameron (85')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stockport County and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stockport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Stockport 8-0 Sutton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Notts County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Harrogate 3-1 Notts County
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stockport County 2-1 Notts County

We anticipate a hard-fought encounter at Edgeley Park between two of League Two's strongest sides, with one goal either way likely settling it. Given their recent results and with home advantage, we give a slight edge to the table-topping hosts to get over the line and head into Christmas with an enviable lead at the summit, but they certainly face one of their toughest tests yet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stockport County in this match.

Result
Stockport County	Draw	Notts County
53.37% ( 0.05)	22.65%	23.98% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 58.43% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.55% (

-0.05)

41.45% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.15% (

-0.05)

63.85% (

0.05)

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.45% (

-0)

15.54% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.52% (

-0)

44.47% (

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.19% (

-0.07)

30.81% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.92% (

-0.08)

67.08% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Stockport County 53.37%

Notts County 23.98%

Draw 22.64%

Stockport County	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.68% Total : 53.37%	1-1 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.64%	1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 23.98%