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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 65.72%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 14.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Sutton United |
65.72% ( -0.44) | 19.83% ( 0.11) | 14.44% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 50.61% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.57% ( 0.24) | 43.42% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.18% ( 0.24) | 65.81% ( -0.24) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.62% ( -0.05) | 12.38% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.76% ( -0.11) | 38.23% ( 0.1) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.76% ( 0.63) | 42.24% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.35% ( 0.54) | 78.64% ( -0.54) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Sutton United |
2-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 65.72% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.95% Total : 19.83% | 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.56% Total : 14.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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