League Two

League Two | Gameweek 15

Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Poolfoot Farm

Wrexham
2 - 1
Sutton

Mullin (14'), Lee (89')
Tunnicliffe (89'), Mullin (90+4'), McClean (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Brien (59')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sutton United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Sutton 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Wrexham 4-1 Sutton United

While showing some inconsistent form, Wrexham have been free-scoring at home, something that has remained constant from last season's success. Sutton are really struggling, and it would be a major turn-up if they were to take anything from this one against one of the favourites for promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 14.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Sutton United
67.68% ( 0.96)	17.68% ( -0.26)	14.64% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 59.1% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.3% (

-0.23)

32.7% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.63% (

-0.27)

54.37% (

0.28)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.12% (

0.16)

8.88% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.62% (

0.37)

30.39% (

-0.36)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.86% (

-1.02)

35.14% (

1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.11% (

-1.09)

71.89% (

1.09)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 67.68%

Sutton United 14.64%

Draw 17.68%

Wrexham	Draw	Sutton United
2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.1) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.15% Total : 67.68%	1-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.68%	1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.35% Total : 14.64%