League Two

League Two | Gameweek 7

Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
5 - 3
Sutton

Young (5', 23'), Cain (16'), Kemp (65'), Hepburn-Murphy (87')
Godwin-Malife (85')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Clay (34'), Goodliffe (39'), Smith (77')
Gray (0'), Milsom (74'), Goodliffe (90+7')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Doncaster 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sutton United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Forest Green
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Swindon Town 2-0 Sutton United

Sutton are capable of making this a difficult match for Swindon despite their struggles this season, but we are finding it difficult to back against the home side, who hit Crawley for six in their last match in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Sutton United
46.65% ( 0.01)	24.96% ( -0)	28.39% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.78% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.83% (

0.02)

48.17% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.68% (

0.02)

70.32% (

-0.02)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.31% (

0.01)

20.69% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.71% (

0.02)

53.29% (

-0.02)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.07% (

30.93% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.78% (

0.01)

67.22% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 46.64%

Sutton United 28.39%

Draw 24.96%

Swindon Town	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.94% 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 46.64%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.96% Total : 28.39%