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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | FC Koln |
46.07% ( 0.05) | 23.87% ( 0.05) | 30.06% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 59.58% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.65% ( -0.27) | 42.35% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.25% ( -0.27) | 64.75% ( 0.27) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.4% ( -0.09) | 18.6% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.12% ( -0.15) | 49.88% ( 0.15) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.19% ( -0.19) | 26.81% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.9% ( -0.26) | 62.1% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.46% Total : 46.07% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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