Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 50.8%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Juventus |
24.18% ( 0.86) | 25.02% ( 0.8) | 50.8% ( -1.67) |
Both teams to score 50.93% ( -1.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.51% ( -2.47) | 51.48% ( 2.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.71% ( -2.19) | 73.29% ( 2.19) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.88% ( -0.58) | 36.12% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.1% ( -0.59) | 72.9% ( 0.6) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.73% ( -1.63) | 20.27% ( 1.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.37% ( -2.66) | 52.62% ( 2.66) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.88% Total : 24.18% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.69) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.36) 0-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.26) 0-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.69% Total : 50.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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