Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Genoa.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Hellas Verona |
56.44% ( 0.09) | 25.36% ( -0.04) | 18.21% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 42.28% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.2% ( 0.06) | 58.8% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.69% ( 0.05) | 79.31% ( -0.05) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.11% ( 0.06) | 20.89% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.39% ( 0.09) | 53.61% ( -0.09) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.45% ( -0.02) | 46.55% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.86% ( -0.02) | 82.14% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 15.22% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 56.43% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.5% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |