Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Lille |
36.64% ( 0.35) | 26.25% ( 0.11) | 37.11% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 53.39% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.75% ( -0.46) | 51.25% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.92% ( -0.4) | 73.08% ( 0.4) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.93% ( -0.01) | 27.07% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.56% ( -0.01) | 62.44% ( 0.01) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.2% ( -0.48) | 26.79% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.92% ( -0.63) | 62.08% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 36.64% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |