Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Empoli |
70.98% ( 0.19) | 17.59% ( -0.05) | 11.43% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 49.3% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.49% ( -0.19) | 40.5% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.11% ( -0.19) | 62.88% ( 0.19) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.83% ( -0) | 10.17% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.59% ( -0) | 33.4% ( 0) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.88% ( -0.38) | 45.12% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.97% ( -0.3) | 81.02% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Empoli |
2-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.9% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 70.97% | 1-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.86% Total : 17.59% | 0-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 11.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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