La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 19, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
0 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Garcia (59')
Avila (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Williams (11'), Guruzeta (20')
Lekue (38'), Sancet (47'), Ruiz de Galarreta (71'), Simon (90+4')
Sancet (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-2 Osasuna
Sunday, August 13 at 4pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, August 12 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

We said: Osasuna 1-0 Athletic Bilbao

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and there is not an awful lot between the two teams in terms of quality. It would certainly not be a shock to see an away victory here or indeed a draw, but we just have a feeling that Osasuna will use home advantage to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
35.02% ( -0.15)	28.03% ( -0.07)	36.95% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 47.68% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.62% (

0.25)

58.38% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.01% (

0.2)

78.99% (

-0.19)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.44% (

0.03)

31.56% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.04% (

0.03)

67.96% (

-0.03)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.67% (

0.26)

30.33% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.48% (

0.31)

66.52% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 35.02%

Athletic Bilbao 36.95%

Draw 28.03%

Osasuna	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.02%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.03%	0-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 36.95%