La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 28, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Irunea))

Osasuna
0 - 2
Atletico

Catena (54'), Oroz (76'), Fernandez (90')
Arrasate (78'), Avila (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Griezmann (20'), Riquelme (81')
Morata (84')
Morata (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 0-0 Sevilla
Saturday, September 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, September 24 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Osasuna 0-2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid will be considered firm favourites to win on Thursday and have every reason to feel confident of securing maximum points against an Osasuna side who are yet to find their groove in the early stages of this season. Only Barcelona and Girona (both 16) have scored more La Liga goals that Atletico (13) so far this term, and we expect their in-form attackers to have more joy in the final third at Estadio El Sadar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Atletico Madrid
29.49% ( 0.47)	27.17% ( 0.21)	43.34% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 48.63% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.55% (

-0.57)

56.45% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.55% (

-0.47)

77.45% (

0.46)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.57% (

0.06)

34.43% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.86% (

0.06)

71.14% (

-0.06)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.17% (

-0.61)

25.82% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.21% (

-0.83)

60.79% (

0.82)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 29.49%

Atletico Madrid 43.33%

Draw 27.17%

Osasuna	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 29.49%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.17%	0-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.33%