European Under-19s Championship | Final

Jul 16, 2023 at 8pm UK

Ta'Qali National Stadium

Portugal U19s
0 - 1
Italy U19s

Bras (24'), Justo (26'), Milheiro (68'), Sa (73')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Olabode Kayode (19')
Missori (33'), Ndour (45+1'), Olabode Kayode (78'), Mastrantonio (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Under-19s Championship final between Portugal Under-19s and Italy Under-19s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal Under-19s

All competitions

Last Game: Portugal U19s 5-0 Norway U19s
Thursday, July 13 at 5pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal Under-19s	3	7	9
2	Italy Under-19s	3	0	4
3	Poland Under-19s	3	0	4
4	Malta Under-19s	3	-7	0

Italy Under-19s

All competitions

European Under-19s Championship

Last Game: Spain U19s 2-3 Italy U19s
Thursday, July 13 at 8pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal Under-19s	3	7	9
2	Italy Under-19s	3	0	4
3	Poland Under-19s	3	0	4
4	Malta Under-19s	3	-7	0

We said: Portugal Under-19s 2-1 Italy Under-19s

Totally irresistible so far this summer - and for several months beforehand - Portugal can continue their imperious form and wrap up a merited Under-19 Euros crown in Malta. Throughout the tournament, Italy have been caught out defensively, so they will be beaten again by their group-stage tormentors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-19s win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Italy Under-19s had a probability of 16.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-19s win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Italy Under-19s win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Portugal Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
62.85%	20.19%	16.95%

Both teams to score 55.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.91%

40.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.54%

62.45%

Portugal Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.82%

12.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.18%

37.82%

Italy Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.05%

36.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.26%

73.73%

Score Analysis

Portugal Under-19s 62.85%

Italy Under-19s 16.95%

Draw 20.19%

Portugal Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
2-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 6.97% 4-0 @ 3.69% 4-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 3.47% 4-2 @ 1.83% 5-0 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.76% Total : 62.85%	1-1 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 4.94% 0-0 @ 4.5% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.19%	1-2 @ 4.7% 0-1 @ 4.48% 0-2 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.64% 1-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.35% Total : 16.95%