European Under-19s Championship | Semi-Finals

Jun 28, 2022 at 4pm UK

Národné tréningové centrum SFZ

England U19s
2 - 1
Italy U19s

Scott (58'), Quansah (82')
Iroegbunam (3'), Devine (84'), Scott (90+6'), Jebbison (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Miretti (12' pen.)
Desplanches (36'), Ghilardi (61'), Faticanti (66'), Coppola (75'), Miretti (90+5'), Nasti (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Under-19s Championship clash between England Under-19s and Italy Under-19s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

England Under-19s

Last Six:

Last Game: Israel U19s 0-1 England U19s
Saturday, June 25 at 7pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine Under-19s	3	2	7
2	France Under-19s	3	9	6
3	England Under-19s	3	-4	4
4	Turkey Under-19s	3	-7	0

Italy Under-19s

Last Six:

Last Game: France U19s 4-1 Italy U19s
Friday, June 24 at 4.30pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy Under-19s	3	2	7
2	Portugal Under-19s	3	4	6
3	Norway Under-19s	3	-1	4
4	Finland Under-19s	3	-5	0

We said: England Under-19s 2-1 Italy Under-19s (after extra time)

With momentum, greater club experience and more squad depth in their favour, England should force their way through to the final. However, Italy are a tough prospect when at full strength, and it may take 120 minutes for the Young Lions to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-19s win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Italy Under-19s had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Under-19s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Italy Under-19s win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for England Under-19s in this match.

Result
England Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
50.52% ( -0.01)	22.53% ( -0.01)	26.95% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 61.97% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.83% (

0.03)

38.17% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.55% (

0.03)

60.44% (

-0.04)

England Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.65% (

0.01)

15.34% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.89% (

0.01)

44.11% (

-0.02)

Italy Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.2% (

0.02)

26.8% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.91% (

0.03)

62.08% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

England Under-19s 50.52%

Italy Under-19s 26.95%

Draw 22.53%

England Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.94% 3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.93% Total : 50.52%	1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.53%	1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 26.95%