Italy have by far the more impressive recent record of these teams, and are set for a second win of the competition, as Slovakia's lack of nous means they are doomed to taste disappointment once more. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Slovakia Under-19s had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.61%) and 1-3 (5.25%). The likeliest Slovakia Under-19s win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy Under-19s would win this match.

Result
Slovakia Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
34.83% ( 0.01)	22.2% ( -0.01)	42.98% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 68% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.79% (

0.02)

32.21% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.19% (

0.02)

53.81% (

-0.02)

Slovakia Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.75% (

0.02)

19.26% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.02% (

0.02)

50.98% (

-0.02)

Italy Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.22% (

0.01)

15.79% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.07% (

0.01)

44.93% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Slovakia Under-19s 34.83%

Italy Under-19s 42.98%

Draw 22.2%

Slovakia Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
2-1 @ 7.61% 1-0 @ 5.01% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.83%	1-1 @ 9.25% ( -0) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.2%	1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.25% 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.32% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.42% 2-4 @ 2% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.9% Total : 42.98%