European Under-19s Championship | Semi-Finals

Jul 13, 2023 at 8pm UK

Ta'Qali National Stadium

Spain U19s
2 - 3
Italy U19s

Barbera (58'), Regonesi (74' og.)
Fresneda (62'), Diao (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vignato (52'), Pisilli (66'), Lipani (85')
Pisilli (24'), Hasa (34'), Palmisani (66'), Vignato (69')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's European Under-19s Championship clash between Spain Under-19s and Italy Under-19s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain Under-19s

All competitions

Last Game: Spain U19s 0-0 Norway U19s
Monday, July 10 at 8pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain Under-19s	3	6	7
2	Norway Under-19s	3	1	5
3	Iceland Under-19s	3	-1	2
4	Greece Under-19s	3	-6	1

Italy Under-19s

All competitions

European Under-19s Championship

Last Game: Italy U19s 1-1 Poland U19s
Sunday, July 9 at 5pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal Under-19s	3	7	9
2	Italy Under-19s	3	0	4
3	Poland Under-19s	3	0	4
4	Malta Under-19s	3	-7	0

We said: Spain Under-19s 2-0 Italy Under-19s

Taking into account Spain's route through both qualifying and the group stage, La Rojita pose the most attacking threat and boast a more solid defence than their semi-final opponents. While Italy's squad features some talented stars of the future, they are collectively vulnerable at the back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-19s win with a probability of 51.37%. A win for Italy Under-19s had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-19s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Italy Under-19s win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Spain Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
51.37%	23.4%	25.23%

Both teams to score 57.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.32%

43.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.93%

66.07%

Spain Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.94%

17.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.78%

47.22%

Italy Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69%

31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.7%

67.3%

Score Analysis

Spain Under-19s 51.37%

Italy Under-19s 25.23%

Draw 23.4%

Spain Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
2-1 @ 9.69% 1-0 @ 9.35% 2-0 @ 8.27% 3-1 @ 5.71% 3-0 @ 4.88% 3-2 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.98% Total : 51.37%	1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 5.67% 0-0 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.4%	1-2 @ 6.41% 0-1 @ 6.19% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.86% Total : 25.23%