Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Lorient |
63.83% ( 0.67) | 20.17% ( -0.06) | 16% ( -0.61) |
Both teams to score 53.32% ( -1.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.24% ( -0.88) | 41.76% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.84% ( -0.89) | 64.16% ( 0.89) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.59% ( -0.08) | 12.41% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.7% ( -0.16) | 38.3% ( 0.16) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.88% ( -1.29) | 39.12% ( 1.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.16% ( -1.23) | 75.84% ( 1.23) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Lorient |
2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.49% Total : 63.83% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.17% | 0-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.1) Other @ 2% Total : 16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |