Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
37.1% ( -0.73) | 25.23% ( 0.18) | 37.67% ( 0.55) |
Both teams to score 56.95% ( -0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.3% ( -0.85) | 46.7% ( 0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.03% ( -0.8) | 68.96% ( 0.8) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.31% ( -0.78) | 24.69% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.77% ( -1.1) | 59.22% ( 1.11) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.62% ( -0.09) | 24.38% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.21% ( -0.13) | 58.78% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.1% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |